every number here exists to force a decision.
Baseline: 688 followers, 8 posts, professional insights live. Engagement tracking started today - honest zeros, not filler.
The standing slot map (Europe/Paris) stays fixed until the most-active-times sample grows - today it is 1-3 followers per hour, too thin to act on. Today (18 Oct) is a one-off: three posts already out (tips 00:37 and 03:52, news 03:56); a harnesses tips post at 13:00 and a second news carousel at 19:00 are scheduled. Decision: when to post the strongest content.
Open the full simulator ↗ (asset 4 - more knobs, projection chart, calibration notes)
A parametric model calibrated on the account's real baseline (688 followers, 18 Oct 2026). It answers one question: is paid growth ever worth it, and at what budget? Every output below is a scenario, not a measurement.
Assumptions (illustrative, chosen conservatively at the industry-typical low end): paid CPM €6; CTR 1.2%; 0.5% of clicks convert to a follow. Context, not a model input: 1 save ≈ 30 impressions of save-intent reach. The same constants drive the simulator above and the table in section 05 - one model, one source. ROAS stays undefined until a revenue proxy exists - we say so instead of inventing one.
| KPI | Simulated | Decision it informs |
|---|---|---|
| ROAS | n/a | Undefined until a revenue proxy exists |
All values simulated and illustrative, rendered at load from the same MODEL constants as the section 04 simulator (see page source). No ad account exists; no spend is planned without your OK.